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December 27, 2009

“Government Intelligence” and other oxyMORONS

By Thoreau

In keeping with the Roderick Long post that Jim linked to downblog, let’s remember what worked and what didn’t work.

Worked:

1)  Passengers getting out of their seats:  A passenger got out of his seat, extinguished the fire, and restrained the terrorist.

Didn’t work:

1)  Improvised bomb made by a loser:  Somehow illiterate guerrilla fighters around the world manage to build and detonate bombs every day.  Yet this loser failed at something that thugs around the world do without any problem.  They say that all politics is local, and maybe something similar applies to irregular warfare–thugs with enough skill to actually hurt people are busy in whatever local conflict rages in their neighborhood, while the incompetents go to the other side of the globe to fight (and fail).

2)  The watch list:  Look, I’m the last person to say that they should put more people on lists and scrutinize them.  In fact, I think that the watch list should  have fewer people on it.  However, if there’s a guy on your list, and his father calls you up and says “This dude is crazy!  He’s going to hurt somebody!” that’s probably one piece of the haystack that is worth a bit more scrutiny.

Yes,  I’m aware that all of this is easier said than done, and that any escalation of effort can easily backfire and turn into an intrusive and sprawling epic fail of an endeavor.  At the risk of sounding like those who say “We just need the right program!”, the fact of the matter is that intelligence work should be done, well, intelligently.  It isn’t easy, it isn’t perfect, but when intelligence fails the only option is to stop, think, and try to be more intelligent in the future.  Indiscriminately adding more hay to the stack is NOT intelligent, and it just makes it hard to find the needle.

(That said, I guess I can’t fault the government for ignoring an email from a Nigerian saying “Dear Friend, I am writing to contact you with important information that will be of mutual interest.”)

So, having established that intelligence failed and passengers succeeded, the government’s response is to put more restrictions on passengers, and not even let them have books in their laps for part of the flight.  Why am I not surprised that the War on Terror has culminated in a ban on reading?

Posted by Thoreau @ 2:19 pm, Filed under: Main

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7 Responses to ““Government Intelligence” and other oxyMORONS”

  1. Comment by Stu
    December 27, 2009 @ 2:53 pm

    “…the government’s response is to put more restrictions on passengers, and not even let them have books in their laps for part of the flight.”

    I’m starting to wonder if the Al Qaida leadership is really just the guys that run Amtrack, and their real goal is to make air travel so annoying and inconvenient that everyone starts taking the train.

  2. Comment by Thoreau
    December 27, 2009 @ 2:55 pm

    Amtrak affiliation would also explain Al Qaeda’s general incompetence.

  3. Comment by Doug T
    December 28, 2009 @ 10:27 am

    If they found 2 year old prepackaged microwave sandwiches in the food car area of Tora Bora, then we’d really have a smoking gun.

  4. Comment by mds
    December 28, 2009 @ 1:18 pm

    Amtrak affiliation would also explain Al Qaeda’s general incompetence.

    Yeah, just look at the way Amtrak loses all that money, as opposed to airlines and the interstate highway system.

  5. Comment by ajay
    December 28, 2009 @ 7:48 pm

    I can’t help feeling that the lesson here is that TSA should concentrate less on “does this man have nail clippers” and “how big a water bottle is he carrying” and even “is he one of the 500 000 people on the watch list” and more on questions like “does he have A GREAT BIG BOMB STRAPPED TO HIS LEG?”

  6. Comment by mds
    December 29, 2009 @ 11:33 am

    “does he have A GREAT BIG BOMB STRAPPED TO HIS LEG?”

    I’d leave out the “GREAT BIG” part, because otherwise TSA employees would start measuring whether leg bombs were under some arbitrary size limit.

  7. Comment by The Sanity Inspector
    December 29, 2009 @ 12:22 pm

    TSA vs. AQ: A bureaucracy versus a network.

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